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Eurovision 2025: Aussievision team's semi-final 2 predictions

  • Craig Land
  • 5 days ago
  • 2 min read

Updated: 20 minutes ago



With just over a month until the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 kicks off in Basel, Switzerland, fans are going into overdrive with predictions as to who will qualify from this year's semifinals, who will miss out... and of course, who will take out the Eurovision 2025 crown.


Yesterday, we looked at the Aussievision team's predictions as to who will qualify from semi-final 1 in Basel. Today, we are turning our attention to the other half of this year's field.


Based on everything we've seen so far, fourteen Aussievision contributors have each chosen their 10 qualifiers from Semi-final 2 and we've tallied up the totals for an overall Aussievision team prediction.


Semi-final 2


The 10 acts the Aussievision team has collectively picked to qualify from semi-final 2 are:

(The percentage of team members picking that nation in brackets)


  1. Austria (100%)

  2. Finland (100%)

  3. Australia (92.9%)

  4. Malta (92.9%)

  5. Israel (92.9%)

  6. Greece (85.7%)

  7. Lithuania (78.6%)

  8. Denmark (78.6%)

  9. Czechia (71.4%)

  10. Luxembourg (71.4%)


This means that the team thinks that the following six entries will miss out on this year's grand final:


  1. Ireland (57.1%)

  2. Serbia (28.6%)

  3. Armenia (21.4%)

  4. Latvia (21.4%)

  5. Montenegro (7.1%)

  6. Georgia (0%)


The Aussievision team was also asked:

 

Which of your 10 qualifiers from SF2 do you think is most likely to not qualify?


  1. Ireland (28.6%)

  2. Armenia, Denmark and Serbia (14.3%)

  3. Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg and Montenegro (7.1%)


Which of your six non-qualifiers from SF2 do you think is most likely to qualify?


  1. Armenia, Denmark, Luxembourg and Serbia (14.3%)

  2. Australia, Czechia, Greece, Lithuania and Malta (7.1%)


Who do you think will win semi-final 2?


  1. Finland (64.3%)

  2. Israel and Malta (14.3%)

  3. Austria (7.1%)


In general, the Aussievision's predictions for semi-final 2 are much less unified than they were for the first semi-final.


At the top end of the scale, our contributors were only agreed on two countries as certain qualifiers from this semi-final, being Austria and Finland. However, Australia, Israel and Malta weren't far behind, with only one team member each not tipping them to make it to the Saturday night.


Conversely, Georgia is the only country whose entry our contributors are agreed won't be getting performed a second time.


It should be noted, though, that Montenegro received only one vote of confidence from our team - and that contributor also listed the Balkan country as the entry which they thought was most likely to non-qualify from all of their predicted qualifiers.


Of the remaining non-qualifiers, only Ireland leapt out from the pack as a potential shock qualifier, with a solid portion of the team (57%) predicting they will make it out of the semifinal.


This is still quite a way behind the team's ninth and tenth qualifiers, however - Czechia and Luxembourg, with 71.4% of the team tipping them to qualify. Further, even among the team members who have tipped Ireland to qualify, a large percentage of them (28.4%) think that the entry is the most likely non-qualifier from their prediction.


How accurate will these predictions be? Last year the team collectively had a 80% success rate, so many picks may be right but there's usually always one or two surprises!


For continued updates on all Eurovision Song Contest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, TikTok, YouTube, Threads, Bluesky, and Instagram. All the links can be found at: https://linktr.ee/aussievisionnet

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